Trade Suggestions & Online Trading

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Links:
1. Forex
2. Equities / Equity Options
3. Futures / Futures Options 

Please find our previous online trading suggestions below.

Forex Trading:

29/11/2010 USDJPY - A time and a place for all...
Technically the daily chart has isolated along the 161.8 extension of the daily range at 81 and has now traded back inside the range suggesting the time has come for some further bullish relief in the USDJPY. Technically we are happy buyers to the topside of the range... read more

10/11/2010 AUDUSD - Time for a breather?
Consumer sentiment and Home Loans will be reported today at 10.30am and 11.30am respectively, the big number is employment and the unemployment rate tomorrow. Given that we may be seeing a little relief rally in the US dollar with risk off globally we are happy to trade against the main trend for the remainder of this week... read more

09/11/2010 EURUSD - Lots of bearish discussion... its the picture that bad?

Busy week on the economic front for the Eurozone with German CPI, French Trade Balance, French CPI, ECB Bulletin. With French GDP, German GDP & EUR industrial production on Friday. Any surprises on the downside given recent signs of inflation could be seen as an opportunity to take a breather and trade the euro lower... read more

25/10/2010 AUDUSD - tired of producer price index pretenders...
Technically the 30 minute AUDUSD chart is isolating above support, with Mr Stevens potentially delivering a speech covered in inflationary concerns we see more potential for upside spiking in the short term than continuation of the chop that has been in play the last few days. We also have PPI being announced at 11.30am which could show some signs of increasing consumer inflation.... read more

21/10/2010 Euro dollar - who's brave enough to take a stand?
Technically the EURUSD 30 minute chart shows potential for the trend to turn lower with a series of lower lows and lower highs completing an extended 3 to the 161.8 on the downside at 1.3725 below the initial breakout of the uptrend at 1.4040... read more

13/10/2010 Australian Dollar the big pump to parity
Forex Trading: The Australian dollar has little standing in it's path other than a possible flat, to positive move in the US dollar on the back of a survey by Reuters stating 14/15 primary dealers think it likely the US Federal Reserve will announce Quantitative easing round 2 at their Nov 3 Federal Open Market Committee meeting.. read more

30/09/2010 Weak building approvals give Aussie a chance to breath
Forex Trading: The Australian dollar has  ploughed higher all September on the back of domestic e employment figures, deficit numbers, interest rate expectations and GDP growth forecasts along with a global re-risking in USD denominated assets and the USD itself with commodities both hard and soft enjoying some of their best months... read more

27/09/2010 EURUSD eliminating doubters, quickly
Forex Trading: The US dollar is facing massive inflation. Meanwhile we have the Euro which has been thumped as a result of fears the fiscal policy in some of the smaller EU members will cause massive civil unrest... read more

10/09/2010 GBPUSD forming Gartley pattern
Forex Trading: Technically we look for the X to A move with a price reversal at A. Using Fibonacci ratios, the retracement A to B should be 50/61.8% of the price range A minus X, as shown along line X to B... read more

08/09/2010 EURUSD under pressure after German factory orders unexpectedly fall
Forex Trading: EUR/USD lost 1.54% as at 24:00GMT as German factory orders unexpectedly fell by 2.2% in July despite expectations of a 0.5% gain. Negative sentiment was then magnified by Andrew Bosomworth of PIMCOs report that Greece would default on its debt obligations when the IMF/EU Bailout funds expire in 3 years... read more

02/09/2010 Aussie Dollar well supported
Forex Trading: A boon in mining revenue has mostly eliminated Australia’s current account deficit. Australia’s trade balance moved from negative to positive with a new record high $74bn in export income exceeding imports by $6.5bn. Australia’s current account deficit shrank to $5.6bn in the June quarter representing just 1.6 per cent of GDP... read more

30/08/2010 Australian Dollar support confirmed, waves are breaking! (AUDUSD)
Forex Trading: US QE2 is all systems go creating a black cloud above the USD for the foreseeable future; the US Federal Reserve has made it abundantly clear the only way out is to monetise the debt which is a boon for margin FX traders... read more

27/08/2010 German CPI or US GDP (EURUSD)
Forex Trading: This week the euro has been attempting to consolidate the recent downdraft from 1.3312 to 1.26, hovering between 1.26 and 1.2710. Germany, the Eurozone economies largest participant reported solid GDP growth this week which included a boost to the German consumer taking morale to a 10 month high contrasting strongly with the PIGS but potentially providing a white flag in the onslaught... read more

26/08/2010 Australian Dollar potential support post elections results (AUDUSD)
Forex Trading: The Australian dollar has been extremely volatile post the hung parliament election day of Saturday August 21^st.  When the markets re-opened Monday morning the Australian dollar dropped from 0.8942 to 0.8858 on parliamentary leadership uncertainty... read more 

Shares / Share Options:

29/11/2010 Nexus Energy (NXS)
Small set back for the shareprice. Back at placement price, (remember they issued 32m shares at $0.44 at the start of the month) I reckon all the punters hoping for a better deal with Shell are scrambling for the door driving the price lower in the short term. Macquarie downgrade hasn’t helped either.... read more

12/11/2010 Nexus Energy (NXS)
The break through 40c  in early September alerted me to the stock. But the breakup of the recent consolidation is again another buy signal.... read more

21/10/2010 Cockatoo Coal (COK)
Initial targets set up around 62c, would likely run stops up above depending on price action, ie. Slow grind up or sharp move higher... read more 

13/10/2010 BHP - Update
Shares: Recent strength has been abating (see volumes), with a period of consolidation anticipated we look to take profits here... read more

11/10/2010 ASX200 Market Commentary
Shares: A point of is that the market has run very hard  recently (+8.5%)  off the August low. Many of the big miners and midcaps  have added substantially well above the benchmark index ASX200... read more

06/10/2010 Worley Parsons Ltd (WOR)
Shares: Worley Parsons Limited (WOR) is a provider of professional services to the energy, resource and infrastructure industries. WOR offers a range of services including feasibility studies, design, project services, upgrade services and maintenance services... read more

28/09/2010 Update - WAN West Australian News (WAN)
Shares: Bigger picture target has been met of $7.50 (+17%) in 5 weeks, Business is now fairly valued FY11 consensus PE is now 14.5x. Relative strength suggests overbought at the moment... read more

28/09/2010 Update - ASX, the exchange of choice (ASX)
Shares: For those still in this trade running a trailing stop loss, this has been a significant gain for the month! Stock is up 16.8% in one month... read more

27/09/2010 Macquarie Bank (MQG)
Shares: The share price has broken up through the major downtrend resistance line. A target of $40.50 is now set or 8.5% higher... read more

27/09/2010 Lend Lease Corporation (LLC)
Lend Lease Group has won $630 million worth of new work associated with the US Army's privatisation of its lodgings. Actus Lend Lease has been appointed to implement the second phase of the US Army privatisation of army lodging (PAL) program, plus undertake additional work in the first phase, which it also implemented. The program is being delivered in three stages, and is being carried out to improve hospitality services and facilities for the army and government.... read more

23/09/2010 Woodside Petroleum (WPL)
Woodside’s earnings growth is transitioning from a major oil producer to that of a major LNG producer. The fundamentals are encouraging. Point of note WPL is trading at steep discount to Santos. WPL consensus FY11 multiple is x17 whilst STO Santos consensus FY11 multiple is x28... read more

01/09/2010 WAN West Australian News (WAN)
West Australian Newspapers Holdings Limited (WAN) is a Western Australian based news and media group. Activities include printing and publishing of The West Australian Daily Newspaper, regional newspapers across the state, commercial printing and radio communications. WAN holds a 49.9% interest in Community Newspaper Group....read more

17/08/2010 ASX, the exchange of choice (ASX)
ASX Limited (ASX, or Australian Securities Exchange) operates Australia's primary national securities exchanges. These include the provision of securities exchange services, derivatives exchange services, central counterparty clearing services, and registry, settlement, and delivery-versus-payment clearing financial products and associated ancillary services... read more

Futures / Futures Options:

09/12/2010 Oil Strategy
Oil is a fungible global commodity, the price of oil is the same all over the world and it is always priced in US dollars. This means that a fall in the dollar relative to other currencies would result in the oil price going up relative to the dollar. In order to understand the price of oil, one must keep an eye on what the US is doing, what happens with regards to the US economy has real and visible effects on the price of oil... read more

07/12/2010 Gold Strategy Update
Gold futures on the COMEX Division of the New York Mercantile Exchange settled at a record closing price of 1,416.1 U.S. dollars per ounce on Monday, underpinned by overwhelming concerns over U.S. economic recovery and sovereign debt crisis in the Europe. Traders noted that the market continued to gain strength from higher-than-expected unemployment data in the U.S. The Fed Chairman Bernanke recently said in an interview that the country's unemployment may take five years to fall to a normal level..... read more

12/10/2010 Dax Options spread suggestion

Strike prices are a fair way from the current sideways trading market out to March with very solid hedges in December. Taking advantage of solid premiums in March whilst allowing December hedges to withstand major movements against our positions. Current indicators i.e.) moving averages have been recently churning through a sideways motion and are currently pointing upwards but with the continual churning of this indicator this sideways movement means a break either up or down is imminent. To take advantage of this we will have both sides of the market covered with a Strangle... read more

05/10/2010 Gold Options suggestion

Gold futures came off a record high Monday as renewed signs of potential trouble in the European Union boosted the dollar, but bullion showed some residual strength to close only modestly lower. Gold for December delivery (GCZ10 1,314, -2.60, -0.20%)  retreated $1, or 0.1%, to $1,316.80 an ounce on the Comex division of the New York Mercantile Exchange.The U.S. Dollar pegged against Gold, the dollar plunging is sending people into gold and silver, and in a large way. Talk of proceeding with quantitative easing, with the midterm elections in November in the US officials are likely to keep talking about it and that should provide a positive message for precious metals such as gold and silver at least for the next 40 days... read more

05/10/2010 ASX200 (SPI) - Intraday outlook
Price has stalled at the top of the channel and now the 123.7 extension of the swing. We think it is morelikely price will now retrace to the top of the previous range around 4,582 which coincides with thelonger term 50% support line. A break back above the 4,662 level would mitigate any downside risk forthe immediate term... read more

30/09/2010 DAX Options spread suggestion
European stock-index futures extended their decline as Spain had its credit rating reduced to Aa1 by Moody’s Investors Service. Futures on the Euro Stoxx 50 Index expiring in December slid 1% to 2,713 at 7:12 a.m. in London. Banks were the main drag on blue-chip sentiment, shedding 1.3 %, as worries over the debt picture in Europe continued to have an impact, particularly concerns over the future for Irish banks. The problem at the moment is that there is no real major economic news for the markets to work with. read more

28/09/2010 ASX200 (SPI) - The bullish alternative
The record top of 6,799 took the market into clearly overbought territory in late 2007. From a low of 3,102 in March 2009 the SPI rallied 62% to 5,037 in just over a year completing a 50% retracement of the high to low between 2007 and 2009. Price stalled at the 50% retracement (4,950) and has been chopping in a range between 4,950 and 4,212 of late, finding support at the 38.2% retracement level for the move from 5,201 to 3,102 (4212) mid-year 2010. Despite the doomsayers, if price can continue to accumulate above the 4,150 level we anticipate price could reach 4,901 by the end of the year and if met extend to 5,387 by late-year 2011. In the immediate term we look for the 4900 level to be tested in a natural wave bullish continuation pattern.... read more

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